The Swedish Model An AI-built encyclopedia of Swedish political life
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Campaign scoreboard

Election 2026

The scoreboard of the campaign, on a century of background: where the blocs stand, what the week did, and how each of the eight parties has performed across a hundred years of elections.

31 days to election day 13 September 2026

General election no. 29 inside the project's century frame

Coalition barometer

As of issue 2 (13 August 2026)

Bloc shares from one published poll aggregate, read against the 175 seats a Riksdag majority needs.

The opposition (S, V, MP, C)

191 projected seats ✓

The governing side (M, SD, KD, L)

158 projected seats

175 of 349 — majority

Parties in the same aggregate

The dotted line is the 4 percent threshold for entering the Riksdag.

Source: EkonomiData.nu — viktat genomsnitt av svenska opinionsundersökningar data as of 10 August 2026

A weighted average of published polls; the seat split is the same source's projection, by the modified Sainte-Laguë method with the 4 percent threshold.

This site publishes no forecast of its own. What you see is somebody else's aggregate, named and dated.

Pulse of the week

As of issue 2 (13 August 2026)

What actually moved in the campaign, with the source behind each line.

  1. 12 August 2026 The Moderates go into the election promising to extend the police's preventive coercive powers against organised crime. Source →
  2. 12 August 2026 The Social Democrats and the Centre Party answer back: they accept the need for the powers, and dispute who would keep them. Source →
  3. 12 August 2026 Magdalena Andersson again avoids saying what government she would form, this time in Ekot's party-leader interview. Source →
  4. 11 August 2026 The government's criminal-law reform reached its Riksdag vote; the Social Democrats call it "utterly unserious". Source →
  5. 12 August 2026 Advance voting in Sweden opens on 26 August and runs to election day; polling stations are open 08:00–20:00 on 13 September. Source →

Form cards: the eight Riksdag parties

Latest result and the shape of the century behind it. Tap a card for the full record.

30.3 %19.1 %20.5 %6.7 %6.7 %5.3 %4.6 %5.1 %

A century of elections

Every general election in the project's frame, largest party first. Second Chamber elections up to 1968, unicameral Riksdag from 1970.

  1. 1928 37.0 % Second Chamber turnout 67.4 %
  2. 1932 41.7 % Second Chamber turnout 67.6 %
  3. 1936 45.9 % Second Chamber turnout 74.5 %
  4. 1940 53.8 % Second Chamber turnout 70.3 %
  5. 1944 46.7 % Second Chamber turnout 71.9 %
  6. 1948 46.1 % Second Chamber turnout 82.7 %
  7. 1952 46.1 % Second Chamber turnout 79.1 %
  8. 1956 44.6 % Second Chamber turnout 79.8 %
  9. 1958 46.2 % Second Chamber turnout 77.4 %
  10. 1960 47.8 % Second Chamber turnout 85.9 %
  11. 1964 47.3 % Second Chamber turnout 83.9 %
  12. 1968 50.1 % Second Chamber turnout 89.3 %
  13. 1970 45.3 % Riksdag turnout 88.3 %
  14. 1973 43.6 % Riksdag turnout 90.8 %
  15. 1976 42.7 % Riksdag turnout 91.8 %
  16. 1979 43.2 % Riksdag turnout 90.7 %
  17. 1982 45.6 % Riksdag turnout 91.4 %
  18. 1985 44.7 % Riksdag turnout 89.9 %
  19. 1988 43.2 % Riksdag turnout 86.0 %
  20. 1991 37.7 % Riksdag turnout 86.7 %
  21. 1994 45.3 % Riksdag turnout 86.8 %
  22. 1998 36.4 % Riksdag turnout 81.4 %
  23. 2002 39.9 % Riksdag turnout 80.1 %
  24. 2006 35.0 % Riksdag turnout 82.0 %
  25. 2010 30.7 % Riksdag turnout 84.6 %
  26. 2014 31.0 % Riksdag turnout 85.8 %
  27. 2018 28.3 % Riksdag turnout 87.2 %
  28. 2022 30.3 % Riksdag turnout 84.2 %

How party values shifted → The full century timeline →

Before the fake reaches you

in Russian

One manipulation genre per issue, with the historical specimen it copies. Written in Russian; the historical pages behind each one exist in all three languages.

  • Прививка №1. «У меня есть секретная записка»

    Самый живучий приём предвыборной кампании опирается на документ, которого никто не видел. В Швеции 1977 года такая записка существовала на самом деле, была подлинной и всё равно оставила после себя разрушенную репутацию и опровержение.

    12 August 2026

  • Прививка №2. «Настоящее расследование ведут не там»

    Вброс, который обещает скрытую правду, почти никогда не приносит фактов. Он приносит объяснение, почему фактов нет. В 1988 году в Швеции такое параллельное расследование велось на самом деле, с министром юстиции за спиной, и закончилось политическим кризисом.

    12 August 2026

  • Прививка №3. «Он же работает на них»

    Настоящее шпионское дело оставляет после себя не только приговор, но и шаблон: любое следующее обвинение в работе на чужую страну звучит правдоподобно просто потому, что один раз это оказалось правдой. Швеция получила такой шаблон в 1963 году.

    12 August 2026

  • Прививка №4. «Если победят они, экономика рухнет»

    Экономический страх это самый дешёвый предвыборный товар: до голосования его нельзя проверить, после голосования никто не проверяет. Швеция знает, как выглядит настоящий обвал, за одну ночь марта 1932 года риксдаг принимал мораторий и спасал банк.

    12 August 2026

  • Прививка №5. Картинка не оттуда

    Самый быстрый вброс не пишут, его пересобирают: настоящее видео, настоящий пожар, настоящая толпа, но другой год, другая страна, другая причина. Швеция дважды за десять лет была сырьём для такой пересборки.

    12 August 2026

News every day

This page is the frame. The daily selection of Swedish news lives in the Telegram channel.

t.me/swedishnewsru →

The full form cards

One card per party line, from the first election the line contested.

An election with no separately reported figure is drawn as a gap.

Socialdemokraterna

30.3 %result 2022+2.0 %change since the previous election

Best 53.8 % in 1940, worst 28.3 % in 2018.

Best result
53.8 %1940
Worst result
28.3 %2018
Longest rise
4 elections1928–1940
Longest fall
4 elections1968–1976
Current run
rising, 2 elections
Elections contested
28
Years in government
73

Party page →First election of the line: 1928 →

Moderaterna

Earlier official names: Allmänna valmansförbundet · Högerns riksorganisation · Högerpartiet

19.1 %result 2022-0.7 %change since the previous election

Best 30.1 % in 2010, worst 11.5 % in 1970.

Best result
30.1 %2010
Worst result
11.5 %1970
Longest rise
5 elections1970–1982
Longest fall
5 elections1958–1970
Current run
falling, 4 elections
Elections contested
28
Years in government
27

Party page →First election of the line: 1928 →

Sverigedemokraterna

20.5 %result 2022+3.0 %change since the previous election

Best 20.5 % in 2022, worst 0.4 % in 1998.

Best result
20.5 %2022
Worst result
0.4 %1998
Longest rise
7 elections1998–2022
Longest fall
none
Current run
rising, 7 elections
Elections contested
10
Years in government
0

Party page →First election of the line: 1988 →

Centerpartiet

Earlier official names: Bondeförbundet

6.7 %result 2022-1.9 %change since the previous election

Best 25.1 % in 1973, worst 5.1 % in 1998.

Best result
25.1 %1973
Worst result
5.1 %1998
Longest rise
4 elections1964–1973
Longest fall
9 elections1973–1998
Current run
falling, 2 elections
Elections contested
28
Years in government
17

Party page →First election of the line: 1928 →

Vänsterpartiet

Earlier official names: Sveriges kommunistiska parti · Vänsterpartiet kommunisterna

6.7 %result 2022-1.3 %change since the previous election

Best 12.0 % in 1998, worst 3.0 % in 1968.

Best result
12.0 %1998
Worst result
3.0 %1968
Longest rise
3 elections1958–1964
Longest fall
4 elections1998–2010
Current run
falling, 2 elections
Elections contested
28
Years in government
0

Party page →First election of the line: 1928 →

Kristdemokraterna

Earlier official names: Kristen Demokratisk Samling · Kristdemokratiska samhällspartiet

5.3 %result 2022-1.0 %change since the previous election

Best 11.7 % in 1998, worst 1.4 % in 1976.

Best result
11.7 %1998
Worst result
1.4 %1976
Longest rise
4 elections1979–1991
Longest fall
5 elections1998–2014
Current run
falling, 2 elections
Elections contested
18
Years in government
16

Party page →First election of the line: 1964 →

Liberalerna

Earlier official names: Frisinnade landsföreningen · Folkpartiet · Folkpartiet liberalerna

4.6 %result 2022-0.9 %change since the previous election

Best 24.4 % in 1952, worst 4.6 % in 2022.

Best result
24.4 %1952
Worst result
4.6 %2022
Longest rise
4 elections1940–1952
Longest fall
6 elections1952–1968
Current run
falling, 2 elections
Elections contested
28
Years in government
27

Party page →First election of the line: 1928 →

Miljöpartiet

Earlier official names: Miljöpartiet

5.1 %result 2022+0.7 %change since the previous election

Best 7.3 % in 2010, worst 1.5 % in 1985.

Best result
7.3 %2010
Worst result
1.5 %1985
Longest rise
4 elections1998–2010
Longest fall
3 elections2010–2018
Current run
rising, 2 elections
Elections contested
12
Years in government
8

Party page →First election of the line: 1982 →

As of issue 2 (13 August 2026)